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Offline Leo

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #20 on: February 22, 2013, 11:52:26 am »
That is statistically improbable.
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Offline Buck Turgidson

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #21 on: February 24, 2013, 06:32:42 am »
It is - I know.  I have 2 boys as well, and so does my brother.  Apparently this is not entirely uncommon.  If you look around, you see that most families are all boys or all girls.  As I understand it, sex is mostly determined by the father.  We just happen to have 2 generations like this.  Interestingly, no divorces in the family.  Apparently there is also a correlation / causation between divorce and the number of female children.

So once again, you are a super queer.  The hot cousin looks like he was hit by a Mack.  We are all fugly.

Offline Leo

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #22 on: February 24, 2013, 02:33:16 pm »
No, probability of having a boy is historically about 50%. .5^27 is about .00000000745 which means there is a .000000745% chance of that occurring. Very uncommon.
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Offline Reoga

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #23 on: February 24, 2013, 11:30:17 pm »
other than twins *im one* my father has 3 boys one girl. His brother James has 2 boys His brother David has 3 boys His brother Glen has 2 boys Robert has 4 boys His brother Paul has 3 girls. then his sister Lara has one girl her sister Pertrisha has one of each her sister Terri has one of each. Now Gen two I have had one of each My 3 brothers have all boys.. Uncial divides 3 boys all have boys. Uncle paul has one of each grandchild. uncial Roberts kids all have one or the other. SO yes I can see this happing.
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Offline Gangs

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #24 on: February 25, 2013, 03:57:37 am »
There are TWO reoga's?
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Those kind of pictures really don't do it for me. To each their own, I suppose.
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Offline Reoga

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #25 on: February 25, 2013, 08:04:51 am »
Twin brother gangs
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Offline Gangs

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #26 on: February 25, 2013, 08:07:55 am »
Oh...ok.







guess leo can have that one.
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Offline Buck Turgidson

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #27 on: February 25, 2013, 09:50:19 am »
Twin brother gangs

Maybe Leo would like him.

No, probability of having a boy is historically about 50%. .5^27 is about .00000000745 which means there is a .000000745% chance of that occurring. Very uncommon.

You are talking about population as a whole - yes it is about 50-50.  But on a micro-scale it doesn't work that way.

Interestingly, I am in Moscow today trying to encourage Llamavore to do his time so he can get a passport one day.  Russian naming convention follows this perfectly.  Your last name can have a female or male ending - ie anna kournikova is named after her mother (hence the ova).  Her Mom's name was Kournik or something close to it.  Her brother would have a name based on the father.  Kind of like Leif Erikson, son of Erik.

So, Reoga's last name would be different from her twin's.

Offline Reoga

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #28 on: February 25, 2013, 10:33:44 pm »
Soviets I ll check that with Yullia
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Offline Buck Turgidson

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #29 on: February 25, 2013, 10:35:42 pm »
Who the hell is Yullia?

Offline Reoga

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #30 on: February 25, 2013, 10:40:38 pm »
MY GF she is Russan
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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #31 on: February 25, 2013, 11:18:03 pm »
Pics of the two of you together or you don't exist. <_<


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Offline Buck Turgidson

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #32 on: February 26, 2013, 07:07:24 am »
ditto, or I assume you are your own twin brother.

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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #33 on: March 02, 2013, 03:11:33 pm »
No, probability of having a boy is historically about 50%. .5^27 is about .00000000745 which means there is a .000000745% chance of that occurring. Very uncommon.

Actually, while it's got a probability of 7.46 * 10^-9, that doesn't effect it's chance (as the most basic level) which is ALWAYS 50/50.  Just because you flip a coin 40 times, doesn't mean it won't always land heads.  It gets less and less probable, but the chance always remains the same.

Each time a kid is born, it has a 50% chance of being a boy or a girl.  Now, there might be some sort of "mutation" in his family, which produces more sperm that carry the Y instead of the X.  Now, if this genetic mutation is dominant (and because it would need to affect males), that could mean that each time a male child is born, he carries this new "more Y than X" mutation with him.  Similarly, my girlfriend's family has a similar shenanigan.  Specifically, any blood-related female (to her grandmother) that gives birth, gives birth to twins.  Someone did a genetic test, and found that the females who are blood-related to the one grandmother (even if it is through a male parent) have an additional gene (or change to a gene) that gives them a higher chance to produce twins (something with the eggs if I remember).
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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #34 on: March 02, 2013, 05:07:30 pm »
No, probability of having a boy is historically about 50%. .5^27 is about .00000000745 which means there is a .000000745% chance of that occurring. Very uncommon.
Actually, while it's got a probability of 7.46 * 10^-9, that doesn't effect it's chance (as the most basic level) which is ALWAYS 50/50.  Just because you flip a coin 40 times, doesn't mean it won't always land heads.  It gets less and less probable, but the chance always remains the same.
While I will not touch your second paragraph because I am no biologist and do not plan on becoming one because I like my penis and do not wish to know of all the bad things that can occur to it, your first statement is a bag of horse manure that tells me nothing. I was speaking to his specific situation, not the chance of him having a boy/girl (0% of either in case you're wondering). The chance of a family having 27 boys in a row is .5^27 which is extremely unlikely. Out of every family in the world, the chance of me then meeting a man in this situation is even lower (though I didn't include this calculation because I do not know its probabilities). So as I said, this entire situation is extremely improbable.
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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #36 on: March 02, 2013, 09:37:46 pm »
http://www.differencebetween.com/difference-between-probability-and-vs-chance/
I'm not really sure how this supports your previous statement?


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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #37 on: March 02, 2013, 10:28:42 pm »
Actually, while it's got a probability of 7.46 * 10^-9, that doesn't effect it's chance (as the most basic level) which is ALWAYS 50/50.  Just because you flip a coin 40 times, doesn't mean it won't always land heads.  It gets less and less probable, but the chance always remains the same.

Each time a kid is born, it has a 50% chance of being a boy or a girl.

have to agree with leo here. the words are used differently; probability always means an amount of possibility, while the word chance may refer simply to the existence of a possibility. However, once you describe a Percentage of chance, or how much chance, or 'the odds' or that someone has one chance in 10 or 100... you are using the definition of chance which is identical to the definition of probability.

example:

"Each time a kid is born, it has a chance of being a boy or a girl."

chance used meaning possibility.

"Each time a kid is born, it has a probability of being a boy or a girl."

this sentence is incorrect; as you can see, probability cannot be used the same way as the word chance, it cannot just mean possibility. But, if you ascribe an Amount of chance...

"Each time a kid is born, it has a 50% chance of being a boy or a girl."
"Each time a kid is born, it has a 50% probability of being a boy or a girl."

the terms become interchangeable here.

you seem to say that degrees of chance simply describe how many possible outcomes there are; if there are 2 outcomes there is always 50/50 chance. But if you flip a coin 2 times, there are 4 possible outcomes (sequences of heads and tails: heads heads, heads tails, tails heads, tails tails).... if you flip it 3 times, there are 8 possible outcomes... percent-chance and probability do not scale differently. they only appear to do so when someone says 'what is the chance that x,' because this quantifies the situation to a single instance instead of a sequence of incidences. "What is the chance I'll eventually get heads if I flip a coin 50 times?" the same as the probability; 50%. "What is the chance that I'll get heads the first time?" 50% chance or probability. "What is the chance I'll get heads 25 times out of 50?" much different; maybe 1 in 50. "What is the chance I'll get heads 25 times -in a row-?" again, much different. But still, the chance is the same as the probability.... and the same as the odds, or the likelihood, etc.



TLDR the word 'chance' has many definitions, but one of those definitions is identical to probability.

« Last Edit: March 02, 2013, 10:32:00 pm by llamavore »


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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #38 on: March 02, 2013, 10:44:50 pm »
there is a 50% chance of rain tomorrow pack and umbrella.

There is a 50% chance of MK surrendering to us this week.
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Re: ONE METRIC SHIT-TON OF FAITH IN HUMANITY HAS BEEN RESTORED.
« Reply #39 on: March 02, 2013, 11:18:43 pm »
there is a 50% chance of rain tomorrow pack and umbrella.

There is a 50% chance of MK surrendering to us this week.

There is a 0% chance of Leo getting laid by the end of the week.


There is a 100% chance of Moth never getting laid.
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